The Times Film Report

This report is based on projections of total U.S. box-office gross from a consensus of industry sources and studio financial models. The U.S. and Canadian returns (about 55% of gross) represent only 20% of a film’s final revenue, which includes overseas theatrical, video and TV income. The industry marketing average of $30 million per film is factored into these profit equations, as is the relative strength of specific film genres in foreign markets. Results for the weekend of Nov. 30 - Dec. 2:

Highlights:

* “Behind Enemy Lines” will be solidly in the profit column for Fox.

* “Texas Rangers” will be a dud for Dimension.

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Mega-Moneymakers ($50 million or more in profit)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Harry Potter Warner Bros. 1 $130 $350 Monsters, Inc. Disney/Pixar 4 115 240

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Moneymakers ($10 million or more in profit)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Shallow Hal Fox 6 $48 $70 Behind Enemy Lines Fox 2 40 60 Amelie Miramax 9 10 22

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Tossups ($5 million or more in profit/loss)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office* office cost, in receipts,* Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Domestic Disturbance Paramount 8 $53 $45 Life as a House *ew Line 11 17 16 Out Cold Disney 7 11 15 The Wash Lion’s Gate 12 4 9

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Losers (less than $5 million)

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Box- Estimated office cost, in Movie title Studio rank millions Spy Game Universal/Beacon 3 $92 Black Knight Fox 5 50 Heist Warner Bros./Franchise 10 35 Texas Rangers Dimension -- 38

Projected U.S. box-office* receipts,* Movie title in millions Spy Game $70 Black Knight 35 Heist 25 Texas Rangers 1

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